The near-term impact of AI on the cyber threat
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An NCSC assessment focusing on how AI will impact the efficacy of cyber operations and the implications for the cyber threat over the next two years.
Adapted edition
- Document type
- Reference Guide
- Format
- DOCX
- Pages
- 5
- Language
- English
- Version
- 1.0
- Updated
- 2026-09-16
- Category
- AI governance
- Licence
- Open Government Licence v3.0
Description
An NCSC assessment focusing on how AI will impact the efficacy of cyber operations and the implications for the cyber threat over the next two years for organisational planning, review and training. NCSC guidance is advisory and should be applied to the organisation's own risks and obligations.
Contents
- UK Cyber Policy comment
- NCSC Assessment
- How likely is a 'realistic possibility'?
- Key judgements
- Context
- Assessment
- Glossary
- Artificial intelligence
- Generative AI (GenAI)
- Transformative AI
- Reconnaissance
- Spear-phishing
- Social engineering
- Source links
Source and licence
National Cyber Security Centre
AttributionNational Cyber Security Centre, “The near-term impact of AI on the cyber threat” (24 January 2024), reused under the Open Government Licence v3.0.
ChangesAdapted 16 September 2026: converted the official HTML article into neutral text-only DOCX and PDF editions. Preserved article headings, paragraphs, lists and plain-text source-link destinations; normalized web whitespace and typographic punctuation; omitted site navigation, topic and download cards, images, logos, scripts, styles and page furniture.
Version history
- v1.016/09/2026